Rockets vs. Grizzlies odds, score prediction, start time: 2025 NBA picks, Jan. 30 best bets by proven model

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The top two teams in the Southwest Division clash when the Houston Rockets battle the Memphis Grizzlies in a key Western Conference matchup on Thursday. Houston is coming off a 100-96 win at Atlanta on Tuesday, while Memphis dropped a 143-106 decision at New York on Monday. The Rockets (32-14) can complete a four-game season sweep of Memphis with a win, and Houston prevailed, 120-118, when these teams last met on Jan. 13. The Grizzlies (31-16) are 19-5 on their home floor this season. Alperen Sengun (calf) is questionable for Houston, while Ja Morant (shoulder) is doubtful for Memphis.

Tip-off from FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tenn., is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Grizzlies are 3-point favorites in the latest Rockets vs. Grizzlies odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 234.5. The Grizzlies are at -152 on the money line (risk $152 to win $100), while the Rockets are at +129 (risk $100 to win $129). Before making any Grizzlies vs. Rockets picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 140-100 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.   

Now, the model has set its sights on Rockets vs. Grizzlies and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Rockets:

  • Rockets vs. Grizzlies spread: Memphis -3
  • Rockets vs. Grizzlies over/under: 234.5 points  
  • Rockets vs. Grizzlies money line: Houston +129, Memphis -152
  • HOU: The Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against Memphis
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall
  • Rockets vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Rockets vs. Grizzlies streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Power forward Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on a tear of late. He has scored 20 or more points in each of the last five games, including one double-double. In a 108-106 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves, he scored 24 points and grabbed 11 rebounds in 32 minutes of action. He had 35 points and 13 rebounds in a 119-104 win over the Dallas Mavericks on Jan. 6. In 45 games, all starts, he is averaging 22.8 points, 6.2 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.6 blocks and 1.4 steals in 29.5 minutes.

Memphis leads the NBA in a number of offensive categories, including points per game, field goals made and free throws both made and attempted. It doesn’t slack on the other end of the court either, as the Grizzlies rank third in blocks per game and second in rebounds. They could cause issues for a Rockets team which can go cold with its shot at times, as Houston ranks 27th in both 3-point percentage and free throw percentage. See which team to pick here.

Why the Rockets can cover

Shooting guard Jalen Green has been an offensive force for Houston this season, his fourth in the league. In 46 games, all starts, he is averaging 21.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, 2.8 assists and one steal in 32.8 minutes. In Tuesday’s win over the Hawks, he poured in 25 points, while adding seven rebounds and two steals. He had 26 points, three rebounds and four assists in a 135-131 win at Cleveland on Jan. 25.

Veteran center Sengun (questionable) has compiled two double-doubles in his past four games. In the win at Atlanta on Tuesday, he scored 18 points, while grabbing 10 rebounds and dishing out two assists. He scored 18 points and had 11 rebounds in a 109-108 win over Cleveland on Jan. 22. In 46 starts, he is averaging 19.1 points, 10.4 rebounds, five assists and 1.3 steals in 31.3 minutes. See which team to pick here.

How to make Rockets vs. Grizzlies picks

The model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Rockets 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under the total, projecting 226 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the NBA picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Rockets vs. Grizzlies, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rockets vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 140-100 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

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